A Facebook post claimed to be a political poll for the June 7 parliamentary elections.
Account publication "Duli Sadiku"claims that the survey was made public by the "French institute CMC." The image shows the acronyms of the five Albanian parties and photographs of the leaders of the four largest parties. The publication also contains words in French.
According to the graph presented there, in the claimed measurement, the Vetëvendosje Movement (VV) received 61.7%, followed by the Democratic Party of Kosovo (PDK) with 15.9%, the Democratic League of Kosovo (LDK) with 12%, the Alliance for the Future of Kosovo (AAK) with 3.7%, the Social Democratic Party with 2.1% and others with 4.6%.
What's wrong with the publication?
The content is not based on actual publication. A Google search for the words "poll for the June 7 elections” does not lead to credible publication with percentages such as in the image in question. Moreover, if searched with the words “French Institute CMC"It turns out that there is no credible French institution with this name that deals with measuring public opinions."
Nor does the image contain any logo to identify which institute conducted the alleged survey.
Even searching with the words "survey conducted by CMC" does not result in any articles from credible publishers.
Also, the platform for verifying content generated with artificial intelligence, "hivemoderation"has rated the image as AI content."
Furthermore, the publication does not meet the required criteria for something to be considered a credible opinion poll or measurement.
What are surveys?
A survey is a preliminary research to know a situation, opinions or attitudes about something specific. In this statistical method Results are drawn based on the study of a portion of the population, called a sample.
Based on the institute's article Pew Research (research institute for surveys and evidence-based studies), it is clarified what information should be requested about how a survey was conducted.
Therefore, the reader who comes across such content, to verify whether it is a credible survey or not, should check:
Who conducted the survey and who sponsored it?
Who was interviewed?
How was the survey conducted?
How were people selected for the survey?
When was the survey conducted?
How many people were interviewed?
Was the survey weighted? If so, how?
Do the survey questions seem neutral and fair?
The issue of fake polls has been active in several elections in recent years. They circulate mainly on social media, attracting a significant audience (see here).
The publication with the same claim was also found on the page "special.com" on Facebook.
Both publications have generated thousands of likes and hundreds of comments.
Analyze
The publication claiming that the "French institute CMC" has published a poll for the June 7 elections in Kosovo is false.
There is no credible French institute by this name that deals with surveys or public opinion measurements.
Furthermore, the publication did not provide any details that met the criteria for the survey and the image was assessed as artificial intelligence-generated content.
Based on the evaluation methodology, hibrid.info assesses the content in question as "fake news".
rationale
The “Fake News” rating is given to informational content that is entirely fabricated or that contains factually incorrect claims or information. Content that is rated as fake news can be defined as having been created and distributed with the intent to misinform the public, i.e., to present a claim that is completely false as fact.