Wrote: Festim Rizanaj
An article was published in the Serbian media, claiming that ""The anti-Serbian rhetoric of Albin Kurti and the Vetëvendosje Movement has brought electoral benefits," influencing the maintenance or increase of support for him in the upcoming parliamentary elections in Kosovo.
Yes, this article is based on a survey conducted by the Valicon agency, which predicted that the Vetëvendosje Movement could win around 50% of the votes in the parliamentary elections in Kosovo.
What does the article claim?
Valicon, the research agency, in collaboration with its online panel Opinia.Club, has published the largest pre-election survey for the Kosovo Parliamentary Elections to be held on February 9, 2025.
According to this poll, Vetëvendosje is in a clear lead for the parliamentary elections on February 9, 2025, while PDK and LDK are competing for second place. With 20% of voters still undecided, the final result could be influenced by the latest campaign moves, but VV remains the undisputed favorite. (here)
The Serbian media outlet claims, referring to this poll, that the possible victory of Albin Kurti and the Vetëvendosje Movement in the upcoming elections in Kosovo is the result of his "anti-Serbian rhetoric", suggesting that this political approach has provided him with electoral benefits.
The article uses this survey as the basis for its analysis, but also adds a political interpretation by linking support for Kurti to anti-Serbian rhetoric. Thus, although the data comes from a specific source (Valicon), the article gives them an unfounded narrative framework that interprets this percentage as a result of “anti-Serbian rhetoric.”
The survey does not include the reasons for support for political parties, such as factors that help shape voter opinion, including the parties' campaign and the statements or policies they promote during the pre-election period. The analysis focused only on political preferences and current election projections, describing the likely support for each party and their potential to win votes from undecided groups. (here)
The survey reveals that voters in Kosovo are primarily concerned with economic hardship, the cost of living, corruption and the low quality of public services, highlighting the need for urgent and sustainable solutions from political parties.
Analyze:
An article in Serbian media claims that the anti-Serbian rhetoric of Albin Kurti and the Vetëvendosje Movement has contributed to electoral gains, influencing the increase in support for him in the upcoming parliamentary elections in Kosovo.
The article is based on a poll by the Valicon agency, which predicts a victory of around 50% of the votes for Vetëvendosje, which the Serbian media interprets as a result of anti-Serbian rhetoric.
The survey does not include reasons for supporting political parties, such as factors that influence voter opinion formation, including campaigns and policies promoted during the pre-election period.
Based on the working methodology, the Serbian media's claim is considered a "conspiracy theory".
Reasoning:
"Conspiracy theories" are considered to be informational content that contains a false or unverifiable description of a phenomenon, event or person, presenting it as part or the result of a secret plan ("conspiracy"). The characteristic of these contents is that they present a series of claims, presented as facts, between which cause-effect relationships are established, without providing any reliable evidence.